One of the more consistent divisions in the NFL over the past five
years has been the AFC West, which has been consistently bad. In that
time frame, it has housed two of the worst teams in the league in the
form of the Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs, an underachiever in
the form of the Denver Broncos, and the unbelievably talented San Diego
Chargers, who have won the division in each of the past four seasons.
Don’t expect much change in the AFC West, even with all four teams
making a number of alterations to their roster. Oakland welcomes Jason
Campbell under center, while Kansas City added a pair of former Super
Bowl-winning coordinators from New England who goes by the names of
Crennel and Weis. Denver is rebuilding with another former Patriots
assistant Josh McDaniels, who is in his second season in Mile High.
Lastly, San Diego is experiencing life without former tailback LaDanian
Tomlinson for the first time in a decade, yet looks poised for a fifth
consecutive division championship. So like the last few years, it’s
the Chargers and everyone else out west, as the other three teams fight
it out over who will be selecting where in the draft.
Despite winning the AFC West in each of the last four seasons, the
San Diego Chargers haven’t exactly turned that into postseason success,
winning just a pair of playoff games in that stretch. After going 13-3
with one of the most explosive offenses in the league, San Diego
promptly lost at home to the underdog Jets in the second round of the
postseason. As high-powered as they were, the Chargers were a flawed
unit, lacking balance on offense, where they ranked tenth overall
(360.1 YPG), fourth in scoring (28.4 PPG), fifth in passing (271.1
YPG), but next-to-last in rushing (88.9 YPG). So changes were made,
most notably the release of future Hall of Fame running back LaDanian
Tomlinson. The former MVP was clearly slowing down, and the imbalance
in the offense was indicative of its focus shifting to the passing
game. And why wouldn’t it, with Philip Rivers putting together another
tremendous season? Rivers threw for 4,254 yards and 28 touchdowns
without the presence of a running game, which ultimately proved to be
the team’s downfall. San Diego traded up in the draft to pick tailback
Ryan Mathews out of Fresno State, who should fit well in Norv Turner’s
offense. Defensively, the Chargers were average last season, ranking
sixteenth overall (327.0 YPG), but should be better off now that sack
artist Shawne Merriman is another year removed from knee surgery.
While still a talented group, the Chargers are lucky that they play in
such a weak division, where there is no real contender to their place
at the top of the mountain.
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After San Diego, there are three teams full of question marks that
round out the division. First among these, and most likely to
challenge the Chargers is the Oakland Raiders, who for the first time
in quite a while have potential to make noise in the AFC West.
Thankfully the JaMarcus Russell experiment is over in Oakland, as the
former number one overall pick was released in the offseason. Former
Redskin Jason Campbell is now the man under center, and will need to
prove to his detractors that he can be a capable starter in this
league. And honestly, that’s exactly what the Raiders need after a
Russell-led offense ranked next-to-last in both scoring (12.3 PPG) and
total yards (266.1 YPG), twenty-ninth in passing (159.8 YPG) and
thirtieth in turnover differential (-13). Campbell’s weapons on
offense are young, but there is talent, particularly in the form of
tight end Zach Miller and wide receivers Chad Schilens and Louis
Murphy. How these youngsters gel with Campbell will dictate how far
this unit will progress in 2010. Defensively, Oakland is in better
shape, where there is a good deal of talent. However, this unit has
struggled thanks to the ineptitude of the offense. Nnamdi Asomugha has
earned the reputation as the top cornerback in the game, and Richard
Seymour provided a huge boost after coming over from New England.
After a stellar draft that netted Alabama linebacker Rolando McClain,
this unit should improve on the 361.9 yards they allowed per game last
season. With the talent base expanding and someone other than Russell
under center, expect the Raiders to be a much-improved team in 2010,
but don’t expect them to make it all the way to the postseason just yet.
Not far behind Oakland is the Kansas City Chiefs, who continue to
rebuild a franchise that has won just ten games over the past three
seasons. The first year of the rebuilding process brought forth new
general manager Scott Pioli, new head coach Todd Haley, and new
quarterback Matt Cassel, two of which are former New England Patriots.
Year Two brings yet more Ex-Patriots, as former coordinators Charlie
Weis and Romeo Crennel reunite under Pioli in Kansas City. The idea is
that these guys will make sense of a team that despite some talent was
awful on both sides of the ball in 2009. Quarterback Matt Cassel
wasn’t nearly as effective as he was in New England filling in for an
injured Tom Brady throwing just as many touchdowns as he did
interceptions. Then again, he didn’t exactly have Randy Moss and Wes
Welker to throw to. As a result, the Chiefs ranked twenty-fifth
overall offensively (303.2 YPG) and twenty-third in scoring (18.4 PPG).
However, they did manage the eleventh-ranked rushing offense (120.6
YPG) in the league, and the addition of former Jet Thomas Jones to the
backfield should improve what was already a strength. Defensively, the
Chiefs were pathetic, ranking thirtieth overall (388.2 YPG),
twenty-second against the pass (231.7 YPG), twenty-ninth in points
allowed (26.5 PPG), and next-to-last against the run (156.5 YPG).
Kansas City has drafted heavy on defense over the last three seasons,
and it’s time that some of those guys start showing results, which is
where they hope Crennel will make a difference. The Chiefs should look
more organized and prepared than they were last season, leading to a
more competitive unit, but don’t expect them top challenge for the
division quite yet.
Lastly, we come to the Denver Broncos, who after starting 6-0 under
first-time head coach Josh McDaniels, ended up going 8-8 for the second
consecutive season, and missed the playoffs for the fourth straight
season. McDaniels is continuing to rebuild this team in his image,
which consisted of getting rid of any malcontents on the roster,
including Pro Bowl receiver Brandon Marshall. This also apparently
meant drafting former Heisman-winner Tim Tebow, who could actually end
up starting for the Broncos despite being widely regarded as a
long-term project. Whether it’s Tebow or Kyle Orton, the Broncos must
do better than they did on offense in 2009, ranking fifteenth overall
(341.1 YPG), eighteenth in rushing (114.8 YPG), thirteenth in passing
(226.7YPG), and twentieth in scoring (20.4 PPG). McDaniels was the
coordinator of New England’s record-setting offense in 2007, but is
clearly lacking the talent that he had with the Patriots. Defensively,
Denver was an odd case, ranking seventh overall (315.0 YPG) and third
against the pass (186.3 YPG), but twenty-sixth against the run (128.7
YPG). Defensive Coordinator Mike Nolan was not retained from the
previous season, and the pectoral injury to sack artist Elvis Dumervil
will have a negative effect on this group. Age is creeping up in the
secondary as well, as both Brian Dawkins and Champ Bailey are slipping
in performance. The bottom line is this; the Broncos are rebuilding
and McDaniels has a plan, but the fruits of his labor may be a few
years away.